top of page

Key Learnings

These are just some of the observations from trading using SMTP, more will be added as they become apparent.

 

  • "In the short-term, non-diversification outperforms diversification". This contradicts almost all teachings on portfolio management but it stands to reason that major upward moves will be based on 1-3 strong sectors rather than a market-wide advance.

 

  • "Better to be wrong-and-quick than slow-and-right when identifying sector trends."

​

  • Whipsaw actions in flat markets can destroy returns.  Also, a quick recovery from a market sell-off (eg Brexit) may not give time for BUY signals to "kick in", leading to short-term underperformance.

​

  • The success of an algorithm is dependent on not which stock is bought, but on when a stock is bought (and sold).

 

 

 

 

 

bottom of page